• Beef
• Journal Publications
• Microbial Risk Assessment Guideline
• Pork
• Poultry
• Ready-to-Eat Meat & Poultry Products
• Shell Eggs & Egg Products
• Siluriformes Fish
• Additional Risk Assessment Links

BEEF

Public Health Effects of Performance Standards for Ground Beef and Beef Manufacturing Trimmings (Oct 28, 2019; PDF Only)

• Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2018-0045 (PDF)
• Related Documents

2005 Harvard Risk Assessment of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Update (Oct 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
  • Appendix 1, Base Case Parameter File Changes From Earlier Analysis (PDF)
  • Appendix 2, Detailed Simulation Output (PDF)
    • Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.8mb)
    • Appendix 2B (PDF; 935kb)
    • Appendix 2C (PDF; 32mb)
  • Appendix 3, Numerical Stability of Simulation Output (PDF)
  • Appendix 4, Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF; 849kb)
• Peer Reviewers (PDF)
• Pre-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 1mb)

Post-public Comment Model and Supplemental Simulation Results (Dec 2006)

• Report (PDF)
  • Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.23mb)
  • Appendix 2C (PDF; 9.81mb)
  • Appendix 3 (PDF)
• Post-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 241kb)
• Data File Documentation (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)

Risk Profile for Pathogenic Non-O157 Shiga Toxin-Producing Escherichia coli (non-O157 STEC)

• Report (May 2012; PDF Only)

Risk-based Sampling for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef and Beef Trim (Feb 2008)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)

PORK

Assessment of the Potential Change in Human Risk of Salmonella Illnesses Associated with Modernizing Inspection of Market Hog Slaughter Establishments (September 2019; PDF Only)

Assessment of the Potential Change in Human Risk of Salmonella Illnesses Associated with Modernizing Inspection of Market Hog Slaughter Establishments(January 2018; PDF Only)

• Supporting document for Docket FSIS-2016-0017
• Updated report (August 2018; PDF)
  • Also available under Docket FSIS-2018-0032
• Response to peer review comments (August 2018; PDF)

Comparative Risk Assessment for Intact (Non-Tenderized) and Non-Intact (Tenderized) Beef (Mar 2002)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
• Errata (PDF)
• Model (XLS)
• Model, Addendum 1: Risk Estimates (XLS)
• Interpretation of the Risk Estimates for Intact and Non-Intact Beef Cooked to Temperatures 140 °F (PDF)

Risk Assessment of E. coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef (Sep 2001)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.2mb)

Cancer Risk from Nitrosamines in Pork Bacon

• Report (October 2018; PDF Only)

POULTRY

Public Health Effects of Raw Chicken Parts and Comminuted Chicken and Turkey Performance Standards (Jan 2015; PDF Only)

• Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2014-0023 (PDF)
• Related Documents

Potential Public Health Impact of Salmonella and Campylobacter Performance Guidance for Young Chickens and Turkeys (Jan 2011; PDF Only)

• Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2010-0029 (PDF Only)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Guiding Public Health-Based Poultry Slaughter Inspection (Jul 30, 2014; PDF Only)

• Executive Summary (Updated Aug 2012; PDF)
• 2012 Report (PDF)
• 2008 Report (PDF)
  • The 2008 report is also an Appendix to the Poultry Slaughter Technical Report issued prior to the meeting of the National Advisory Committee on Meat and Poultry Inspection (Feb 5-6, 2008).
• Response to Peer Review Comments (Jun 2008; PDF)
• PSRA Reply to Peer Review (Dec 27, 2012; PDF)

Interagency Risk Assessment for the Public Health Impact of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus in Poultry, Shell Eggs, and Egg Products (May 2010)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 2.0mb, 164pp)
• Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only; 566k, 121pp)
• Responses to Public Comments (PDF Only)
• Models
  • Shell Eggs Model (XLS; 2.0mb)
  • Poultry Model (XLS; 2.7mb)

READY-TO-EAT MEAT AND POULTRY PRODUCTS

Interagency Risk Assessment— Listeria monocytogenes in Retail Delicatessens (September 2013)

• Interpretive Summary (PDF)
• Technical Report (PDF; 10.90mb)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Note: You may request the model, coded in R, related to this interagency risk assessment by completing the online form.
• Information regarding May 22, 2013 public meeting
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Information regarding the June 23, 2009 public meeting launching this risk assessment: agenda and presentations, transcript, and public notice.

Comparative Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Ready-to-eat Meat and Poultry Deli Meats (May 2010)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 816kb)
• Model (XLS files in ZIP archive)
  • Instructions for Use of the Model (PDF)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Federal Register Notice
  • Docket No. 2009-0003 | PDF

Risk Assessment for Clostridium perfringens in Ready-to-Eat and Partially Cooked Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 3mb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Risk Management Metrics Using the C. perfringens Risk Assessment (PDF; 742kb) | Executive Summary (PDF)
  • Model

Risk Assessment for the Impact of Lethality Standards on Salmonellosis from Ready-to-Eat Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF, 1.4mb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)

Quantitative Assessment of the Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods (Sep 2003)

Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Deli Meat (May 2003)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.5mb)
• Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 3.4mb, June 2003)
• Updated User-Friendly Model (link to updated open source model code along with user instructions and training video, April 2020)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• FSIS Response to Supplemental Public Comments (PDF)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Risk-Based Verification Sampling of Listeria monocytogenes (Jun 2007)

• Report (PDF; 1.2mb)
  • Appendices (PDF Only; 3.9mb)
  • Example Models (ZIP)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Updates to Report (May 2012; PDF Only; 4.8mb)
  • Example Models (ZIP)

SHELL EGGS AND EGG PRODUCTS

FDA-FSIS Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment: An Evaluation of Shell Egg Cooling on the Risk of Salmonellosis from Egg Products (Apr 2020)

Publication
Model

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Shell Eggs and Salmonella spp. in Egg Products (Oct 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.6mb)
  • Report Errata (PDF)
  • Report Annex A (PDF)
  • Report Annex B (PDF)
  • Report Annex C (PDF)
  • Report Annex D (PDF)
  • Report Annex E (PDF; 576kb)
  • Report Annex F (PDF; 667kb)
  • Report Annex G (PDF; 747kb)
  • Report Annex H (PDF; 926kb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review and Public Comments (PDF)

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Eggs and Egg Products(Jun 1998)

SILURIFORMES FISH

Assessment of the Potential Change in Human Health Risk associated with Applying Inspection to Fish of the order Siluriformes

• Report (Jan 2015; PDF Only)
• Fish Cost Estimate (PDF Only)

Risk Assessment of the Potential Human Health Effect of Applying Continuous Inspection to Catfish

• Report (Jul 2012; PDF Only)
• Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only)
• Model (R Software)

Additional Risk Assessment Links

• FoodRisk.ORG
  This clearinghouse offers risk analysis professionals data, tutorials, tools and links to numerous resources, including a list of future research needs identified by FSIS and FDA food safety risk assessments.