• Avian Influenza
• BSE
• Catfish
• E. coli O157:H7 | Non-O157 STEC
• Hog Slaughter
• Microbial Risk Assessment Guideline
• Nitrosamines
• Poultry Slaughter
• Ready-to-Eat Meat & Poultry Products
• Risk-Based Sampling Algorithms
• Shell Eggs & Egg Products
• Journal Publications
• Additional Risk Assessment Links

AVIAN INFLUENZA

Interagency Risk Assessment for the Public Health Impact of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus in Poultry, Shell Eggs, and Egg Products (May 2010)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 2.0mb, 164pp)
• Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only; 566k, 121pp)
• Responses to Public Comments (PDF Only)
• Models
  • Shell Eggs Model (XLS; 2.0mb)
  • Poultry Model (XLS; 2.7mb)
    

BOVINE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY (BSE)

2005 Harvard Risk Assessment of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Update (Oct 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
  • Appendix 1, Base Case Parameter File Changes From Earlier Analysis (PDF)
  • Appendix 2, Detailed Simulation Output (PDF)
    • Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.8mb)
    • Appendix 2B (PDF; 935kb)
    • Appendix 2C (PDF; 32mb)
  • Appendix 3, Numerical Stability of Simulation Output (PDF)
  • Appendix 4, Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF; 849kb)
• Peer Reviewers (PDF)
• Pre-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 1mb)

Post-public Comment Model and Supplemental Simulation Results (Dec 2006)

• Report (PDF)
  • Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.23mb)
  • Appendix 2C (PDF; 9.81mb)
  • Appendix 3 (PDF)
• Post-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 241kb)
• Data File Documentation (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)

CATFISH

Assessment of the Potential Change in Human Health Risk associated with Applying Inspection to Fish of the order Siluriformes

• Report (Jan 2015; PDF Only)
• Fish Cost Estimate (PDF Only)

Risk Assessment of the Potential Human Health Effect of Applying Continuous Inspection to Catfish

• Report (Jul 2012; PDF Only)
• Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only)
• Model (R Software)

E. COLI O157:H7

Comparative Risk Assessment for Intact (Non-Tenderized) and Non-Intact (Tenderized) Beef (Mar 2002)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
• Errata (PDF)
• Model (XLS)
• Model, Addendum 1: Risk Estimates (XLS)
• Interpretation of the Risk Estimates for Intact and Non-Intact Beef Cooked to Temperatures 140 °F (PDF)

Risk Assessment of E. coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef (Sep 2001)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.2mb)

E. COLI NON-O157:H7 STEC

Risk Profile for Pathogenic Non-O157 Shiga Toxin-Producing Escherichia coli (non-O157 STEC)

• Report (May 2012; PDF Only)

HOG SLAUGHTER

Assessment of the Potential Change in Human Risk of Salmonella Illnesses Associated with Modernizing Inspection of Market Hog Slaughter Establishments(January 2018; PDF Only)

• Supporting document for Docket FSIS-2016-0017
• Updated report (August 2018; PDF)
  • Also available under Docket FSIS-2018-0032
• Response to peer review comments (August 2018; PDF)

NITROSAMINES

Cancer Risk from Nitrosamines in Pork Bacon

• Report (October 2018; PDF Only)

POULTRY SLAUGHTER

Public Health Effects of Raw Chicken Parts and Comminuted Chicken and Turkey Performance Standards (Jan 2015; PDF Only)

• Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2014-0023 (PDF)
• Related Documents

Potential Public Health Impact of Salmonella and Campylobacter Performance Guidance for Young Chickens and Turkeys (Jan 2011; PDF Only)

• Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2010-0029 (PDF Only)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Guiding Public Health-Based Poultry Slaughter Inspection (Jul 30, 2014; PDF Only)

• Executive Summary (Updated Aug 2012; PDF)
• 2012 Report (PDF)
• 2008 Report (PDF)
  • The 2008 report is also an Appendix to the Poultry Slaughter Technical Report issued prior to the meeting of the National Advisory Committee on Meat and Poultry Inspection (Feb 5-6, 2008).
• Response to Peer Review Comments (Jun 2008; PDF)
• PSRA Reply to Peer Review (Dec 27, 2012; PDF)

READY-TO-EAT MEAT AND POULTRY PRODUCTS

Interagency Risk Assessment— Listeria monocytogenes in Retail Delicatessens (September 2013)

• Interpretive Summary (PDF)
• Technical Report (PDF; 10.90mb)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Note: You may request the model, coded in R, related to this interagency risk assessment by completing the online form.
• Information regarding May 22, 2013 public meeting
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Information regarding the June 23, 2009 public meeting launching this risk assessment: agenda and presentations, transcript, and public notice.

Comparative Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Ready-to-eat Meat and Poultry Deli Meats (May 2010)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 816kb)
• Model (XLS files in ZIP archive)
  • Instructions for Use of the Model (PDF)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Federal Register Notice
  • Docket No. 2009-0003 | PDF

Risk Assessment for Clostridium perfringens in Ready-to-Eat and Partially Cooked Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 3mb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• Risk Management Metrics Using the C. perfringens Risk Assessment (PDF; 742kb) | Executive Summary (PDF)
  • Model

Risk Assessment for the Impact of Lethality Standards on Salmonellosis from Ready-to-Eat Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF, 1.4mb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)

Quantitative Assessment of the Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods (Sep 2003)

Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Deli Meat (May 2003)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.5mb)
• Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 3.4mb)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Response to Public Comments (PDF)
• FSIS Response to Supplemental Public Comments (PDF)

RISK-BASED SAMPLING ALGORITHMS

Risk-based Sampling for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef and Beef Trim (Feb 2008)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)

FSIS Risk Assessment for Risk-Based Verification Sampling of Listeria monocytogenes (Jun 2007)

• Report (PDF; 1.2mb)
  • Appendices (PDF Only; 3.9mb)
  • Example Models (ZIP)
• Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
• Updates to Report (May 2012; PDF Only; 4.8mb)
  • Example Models (ZIP)

SHELL EGGS AND EGG PRODUCTS

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Shell Eggs and Salmonella spp. in Egg Products (Oct 2005)

• Executive Summary (PDF)
• Report (PDF; 1.6mb)
  • Report Errata (PDF)
  • Report Annex A (PDF)
  • Report Annex B (PDF)
  • Report Annex C (PDF)
  • Report Annex D (PDF)
  • Report Annex E (PDF; 576kb)
  • Report Annex F (PDF; 667kb)
  • Report Annex G (PDF; 747kb)
  • Report Annex H (PDF; 926kb)
• Model
• Response to Peer Review and Public Comments (PDF)

Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Eggs and Egg Products(Jun 1998) 

Additional Risk Assessment Links

• FoodRisk.ORG
  This clearinghouse offers risk analysis professionals data, tutorials, tools and links to numerous resources, including a list of future research needs identified by FSIS and FDA food safety risk assessments.