Risk Assessments
- Avian Influenza
- BSE
- Catfish
- E. coli O157:H7 | Non-O157 STEC
- Microbial Risk Assessment Guideline
- Poultry Slaughter
- Ready-to-Eat Meat & Poultry Products
- Risk-Based Sampling Algorithms
- Shell Eggs & Egg Products
- Journal Publications
- Additional Risk Assessment Links
AVIAN INFLUENZA
Interagency Risk Assessment for the Public Health Impact of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus in Poultry, Shell Eggs, and Egg Products (May 2010)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 2.0mb, 164pp)
- Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only; 566k, 121pp)
- Responses to Public Comments (PDF Only)
- Models
- Shell Eggs Model (XLS; 2.0mb)
- Poultry Model (XLS; 2.7mb)
BOVINE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY (BSE)
2005 Harvard Risk Assessment of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Update (Oct 2005)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF)
- Appendix 1, Base Case Parameter File Changes From Earlier Analysis (PDF)
- Appendix 2, Detailed Simulation Output (PDF)
- Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.8mb)
- Appendix 2B (PDF; 935kb)
- Appendix 2C (PDF; 32mb)
- Appendix 3, Numerical Stability of Simulation Output (PDF)
- Appendix 4, Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF; 849kb)
- Peer Reviewers (PDF)
- Pre-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 1mb)
Post-public Comment Model and Supplemental Simulation Results (Dec 2006)
- Report (PDF)
- Appendix 2A (PDF; 1.23mb)
- Appendix 2C (PDF; 9.81mb)
- Appendix 3 (PDF)
- Post-Public Comment Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 241kb)
- Data File Documentation (PDF)
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
CATFISH
Risk Assessment of the Potential Human Health Effect of Applying Continuous Inspection to Catfish
- Report (Jul 2012; PDF Only)
- Peer Review Comments and Responses (PDF Only)
- Model (R Software)
E. COLI O157:H7
Comparative Risk Assessment for Intact (Non-Tenderized) and Non-Intact (Tenderized) Beef (Mar 2002)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF)
- Errata (PDF)
- Model (XLS)
- Model, Addendum 1: Risk Estimates (XLS)
- Interpretation of the Risk Estimates for Intact and Non-Intact Beef Cooked to Temperatures 140 °F (PDF)
Risk Assessment of E. coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef (Sep 2001)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 1.2mb)
E. COLI NON-O157:H7 STEC
Risk Profile for Pathogenic Non-O157 Shiga Toxin-Producing Escherichia coli (non-O157 STEC)
- Report (May 2012; PDF Only)
POULTRY SLAUGHTER
Potential Public Health Impact of Salmonella and Campylobacter Performance Guidance for Young Chickens and Turkeys (Jan 2011; PDF Only)
- Supporting Document for Docket No. FSIS-2010-0029 (PDF Only)
FSIS Risk Assessment for Guiding Public Health-Based Poultry Slaughter Inspection
- Executive Summary (Updated Aug 2012; PDF)
- 2012 Report (PDF)
- 2008 Report (PDF)
- The 2008 report is also an Appendix to the Poultry Slaughter Technical Report issued prior to the meeting of the National Advisory Committee on Meat and Poultry Inspection (Feb 5-6, 2008).
- Response to Peer Review Comments (Jun 2008; PDF)
READY-TO-EAT MEAT AND POULTRY PRODUCTS
Interagency Risk Assessment— Listeria monocytogenes in Retail Delicatessens (September 2013)
- Interpretive Summary (PDF)
- Technical Report (PDF; 10.90mb)
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Note: You may request the model, coded in R, related to this interagency risk assessment by emailing industry@fda.gov.
- Information regarding May 22, 2013 public meeting
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
Comparative Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Ready-to-eat Meat and Poultry Deli Meats (May 2010)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 816kb)
- Model (XLS files in ZIP archive)
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
- Federal Register Notice
Risk Assessment for Clostridium perfringens in Ready-to-Eat and Partially Cooked Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 3mb)
- Model
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
- Risk Management Metrics Using the C. perfringens Risk Assessment (PDF; 742kb) | Executive Summary (PDF)
Risk Assessment for the Impact of Lethality Standards on Salmonellosis from Ready-to-Eat Meat and Poultry Products (Sep 2005)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF, 1.4mb)
- Model
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
Quantitative Assessment of the Relative Risk to Public Health from Foodborne Listeria monocytogenes Among Selected Categories of Ready-to-Eat Foods (Sep 2003)
Risk Assessment for Listeria monocytogenes in Deli Meat (May 2003)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 1.5mb)
- Model (ZIP compressed file containing multiple files and instructions; 3.4mb)
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Response to Public Comments (PDF)
- FSIS Response to Supplemental Public Comments (PDF)
RISK-BASED SAMPLING ALGORITHMS
Risk-based Sampling for Escherichia coli O157:H7 in Ground Beef and Beef Trim (Feb 2008)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF)
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
FSIS Risk Assessment for Risk-Based Verification Sampling of Listeria monocytogenes (Jun 2007)
- Report (PDF; 1.2mb)
- Appendices (PDF Only; 3.9mb)
- Example Models (ZIP)
- Response to Peer Review Comments (PDF)
- Updates to Report (May 2012; PDF Only; 4.8mb)
- Example Models (ZIP)
SHELL EGGS AND EGG PRODUCTS
Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Shell Eggs and Salmonella spp. in Egg Products (Oct 2005)
- Executive Summary (PDF)
- Report (PDF; 1.6mb)
- Report Errata (PDF)
- Report Annex A (PDF)
- Report Annex B (PDF)
- Report Annex C (PDF)
- Report Annex D (PDF)
- Report Annex E (PDF; 576kb)
- Report Annex F (PDF; 667kb)
- Report Annex G (PDF; 747kb)
- Report Annex H (PDF; 926kb)
- Model
- Response to Peer Review and Public Comments (PDF)
Risk Assessment for Salmonella Enteritidis in Eggs and Egg Products (Jun 1998)
Additional Risk Assessment Links
- FoodRisk.ORG
This clearinghouse offers risk analysis professionals data, tutorials, tools and links to numerous resources, including a list of future research needs identified by FSIS and FDA food safety risk assessments.